Full Text Available

Note: Clicking the button above will open the full text document at the original institutional repository in a new window.

Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei

Includes bibliographical references.

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Becker, Francois Stephanus
Other Authors: Tolley, Krystal A
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Biological Sciences 2015
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1867613989178966016
access_status_str Open Access
author Becker, Francois Stephanus
author2 Tolley, Krystal A
author_browse Becker, Francois Stephanus
Tolley, Krystal A
author_facet Tolley, Krystal A
Becker, Francois Stephanus
author_sort Becker, Francois Stephanus
collection Thesis
description Includes bibliographical references.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/12721
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:44:54.440Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2015
publishDateRange 2015
publishDateSort 2015
publisher Department of Biological Sciences
publisherStr Department of Biological Sciences
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/12721 Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei Becker, Francois Stephanus Tolley, Krystal A Altwegg, Res Includes bibliographical references. Capensibufo rosei, a critically endangered bufonid found only within Table Mountain National Park, has shown a silent decline over recent decades, despite being found within a protected area with apparently pristine habitat. I estimated the first survival and recruitment rates for the species, using Capture-Mark-Recapture (CMR) methods, over a 7-year period, in order to identify demographic trends over time. I also used covariate models to test whether any observed trends in these demographic parameters were significantly related to variation in rainfall or drought-stress. I found some evidence for an extreme rainfall-induced life-history plasticity, with both survival and recruitment rates covarying closely with rainfall parameters. Although recruitment rate showed a positive relationship with rainfall, the relationship between survival rate and rainfall, specifically during the start of breeding, was negative, with breeding season rainfall explaining 94% of the variability in survival rate over time. I also found evidence to suggest that higher adult survival during poorer breeding rainfall years may be a natural population buffering mechanism to a highly variable microclimate, and that variable rainfall during the start of the breeding season may elicit a variable response in breeding investment by adults. Finally, I found evidence to suggest that the population is small, range-restricted and highly unstable, and that disturbances at the breeding site during good breeding years may cause the population to crash. 2015-05-04T07:13:49Z 2015-05-04T07:13:49Z 2014 Bachelor Thesis Honours BSc (Hons) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12721 eng application/pdf Department of Biological Sciences Faculty of Science University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Becker, Francois Stephanus
Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei
thesis_degree_str Bachelor's / Honours
title Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei
title_full Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei
title_fullStr Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei
title_full_unstemmed Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei
title_short Searching for answers to the silent decline: first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered Rose's mountain toadlet, Capensibufo rosei
title_sort searching for answers to the silent decline first estimates of survival and recruitment for the critically endangered rose s mountain toadlet capensibufo rosei
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12721
work_keys_str_mv AT beckerfrancoisstephanus searchingforanswerstothesilentdeclinefirstestimatesofsurvivalandrecruitmentforthecriticallyendangeredrosesmountaintoadletcapensibuforosei