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A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt

Aloe dichotoma populations differ in their rates of recruitment and mortality across the species distribution in South Western Africa. Little is known about how recruitment and mortality rates are affected by local climate and ecological factors. Using repeat photography and a statistical recruitmen...

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Main Author: van Blerk, Justin
Other Authors: Hoffman, Timm
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Biological Sciences 2015
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access_status_str Open Access
author van Blerk, Justin
author2 Hoffman, Timm
author_browse Hoffman, Timm
van Blerk, Justin
author_facet Hoffman, Timm
van Blerk, Justin
author_sort van Blerk, Justin
collection Thesis
description Aloe dichotoma populations differ in their rates of recruitment and mortality across the species distribution in South Western Africa. Little is known about how recruitment and mortality rates are affected by local climate and ecological factors. Using repeat photography and a statistical recruitment model, the recruitment history of an emerging population of over 200 A. dichotoma individuals near Kenhardt was simulated. Historical rainfall data was used in order to assess the possible link between rainfall and recruitment. Recruitment patterns were found to be a combination of episodic events of varying length and magnitude superimposed over a background of low-rate continuous recruitment. The largest, most extended episodic recruitment period peaked in the mid-1970s and led to the establishment of most of the individuals in the Kenhardt population. These trees were generally between 150 and 250 cm in height (2013). Newly discovered juveniles below 100 cm in height were predominantly the result of relatively small and brief episodic recruitment events that occurred in the mid and late 2000s. Between episodic recruitment events, evidence for low-rate continuous recruitment is present, particularly in more recent years. Episodic periods of high-rate recruitment were found to be linked to high rainfall. The largest, most extended recruitment period coincided with the exceptionally high rainfall of the 1970s. The more recent episodic recruitment events also coincided with high rainfall spikes during the 2000s. While correlations between rainfall variables and recruitment were significant, many other factors may affect the strength of this relationship.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/14021
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:36:18.442Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2015
publishDateRange 2015
publishDateSort 2015
publisher Department of Biological Sciences
publisherStr Department of Biological Sciences
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/14021 A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt van Blerk, Justin Hoffman, Timm Jack, Sam Biological Sciences Aloe dichotoma populations differ in their rates of recruitment and mortality across the species distribution in South Western Africa. Little is known about how recruitment and mortality rates are affected by local climate and ecological factors. Using repeat photography and a statistical recruitment model, the recruitment history of an emerging population of over 200 A. dichotoma individuals near Kenhardt was simulated. Historical rainfall data was used in order to assess the possible link between rainfall and recruitment. Recruitment patterns were found to be a combination of episodic events of varying length and magnitude superimposed over a background of low-rate continuous recruitment. The largest, most extended episodic recruitment period peaked in the mid-1970s and led to the establishment of most of the individuals in the Kenhardt population. These trees were generally between 150 and 250 cm in height (2013). Newly discovered juveniles below 100 cm in height were predominantly the result of relatively small and brief episodic recruitment events that occurred in the mid and late 2000s. Between episodic recruitment events, evidence for low-rate continuous recruitment is present, particularly in more recent years. Episodic periods of high-rate recruitment were found to be linked to high rainfall. The largest, most extended recruitment period coincided with the exceptionally high rainfall of the 1970s. The more recent episodic recruitment events also coincided with high rainfall spikes during the 2000s. While correlations between rainfall variables and recruitment were significant, many other factors may affect the strength of this relationship. 2015-09-15T10:33:05Z 2015-09-15T10:33:05Z 2013 Bachelor Thesis Honours BSc (Hons) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/14021 eng application/pdf Department of Biological Sciences Faculty of Science University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Biological Sciences
van Blerk, Justin
A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt
thesis_degree_str Bachelor's / Honours
title A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt
title_full A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt
title_fullStr A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt
title_full_unstemmed A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt
title_short A simulated history of Aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall : insights from an isolated population near Kenhardt
title_sort simulated history of aloe dichotoma recruitment and its link to rainfall insights from an isolated population near kenhardt
topic Biological Sciences
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/14021
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AT vanblerkjustin simulatedhistoryofaloedichotomarecruitmentanditslinktorainfallinsightsfromanisolatedpopulationnearkenhardt