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Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa

Corporate turnaround, in comparison to financial distress, is not substantially researched either internationally or locally in South Africa. This study attempts to explore this area of research by developing models that identify financially distressed companies with a potential for turnaround. This...

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Main Author: Chin, Chu-Kuo
Other Authors: West, Darron
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Finance and Tax 2017
Subjects:
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access_status_str Open Access
author Chin, Chu-Kuo
author2 West, Darron
author_browse Chin, Chu-Kuo
West, Darron
author_facet West, Darron
Chin, Chu-Kuo
author_sort Chin, Chu-Kuo
collection Thesis
description Corporate turnaround, in comparison to financial distress, is not substantially researched either internationally or locally in South Africa. This study attempts to explore this area of research by developing models that identify financially distressed companies with a potential for turnaround. This analysis examines listed companies on both the JSE Securities Exchange ('JSE') and Alternative Exchange ('AltX') for the period 2007 to 2014 by using available data from iNet BFA. The financial distress model, Taffler's Z-score, is used to identify companies that fall within the sample. Multiple linear discriminant models with interaction variables are used as part of the process to derive the turnaround models. The first model shows that efficiency is a key driver for a successful turnaround. The second model reveals that JSE-listed companies are more likely to survive than AltX companies. This study contributes to the existing research by identifying significant factors for corporate turnaround and summarizing its findings in a practical manner.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:15.376Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2017
publishDateRange 2017
publishDateSort 2017
publisher Department of Finance and Tax
publisherStr Department of Finance and Tax
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/22915 Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa Chin, Chu-Kuo West, Darron Financial Management Risk Management Corporate turnaround, in comparison to financial distress, is not substantially researched either internationally or locally in South Africa. This study attempts to explore this area of research by developing models that identify financially distressed companies with a potential for turnaround. This analysis examines listed companies on both the JSE Securities Exchange ('JSE') and Alternative Exchange ('AltX') for the period 2007 to 2014 by using available data from iNet BFA. The financial distress model, Taffler's Z-score, is used to identify companies that fall within the sample. Multiple linear discriminant models with interaction variables are used as part of the process to derive the turnaround models. The first model shows that efficiency is a key driver for a successful turnaround. The second model reveals that JSE-listed companies are more likely to survive than AltX companies. This study contributes to the existing research by identifying significant factors for corporate turnaround and summarizing its findings in a practical manner. 2017-01-23T07:55:32Z 2017-01-23T07:55:32Z 2016 Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/22915 eng application/pdf Department of Finance and Tax Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Financial Management
Risk Management
Chin, Chu-Kuo
Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa
title_full Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa
title_fullStr Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa
title_short Predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in South Africa
title_sort predicting corporate turnaround of listed companies in south africa
topic Financial Management
Risk Management
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/22915
work_keys_str_mv AT chinchukuo predictingcorporateturnaroundoflistedcompaniesinsouthafrica