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Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling

The MyCiTi is currently generating large volumes of raw transactional information in the form of commuter smartcard transactions, which can be considered Big Data. Agent Based modelling (ABM) has been applied internationally as a means of deriving actionable intelligence from Big Data. It is propose...

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Main Author: Willenberg, Darren
Other Authors: Zuidgeest, Mark
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Civil Engineering 2018
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access_status_str Open Access
author Willenberg, Darren
author2 Zuidgeest, Mark
author_browse Willenberg, Darren
Zuidgeest, Mark
author_facet Zuidgeest, Mark
Willenberg, Darren
author_sort Willenberg, Darren
collection Thesis
description The MyCiTi is currently generating large volumes of raw transactional information in the form of commuter smartcard transactions, which can be considered Big Data. Agent Based modelling (ABM) has been applied internationally as a means of deriving actionable intelligence from Big Data. It is proposed that ABM can be used to unlock the hidden potential within the aforementioned data. This paper demonstrates how to go about developing and calibrating a MATSim-based ABM to analyse AFC data. It is found that data formatting algorithms are critical in the preparation of data for modelling activities. These algorithms are highly complex, requiring significant time investment prior to development. Furthermore, the development of appropriate ABM calibration parameters requires careful consideration in terms of appropriate data collection, simulation testing, and justification. This study serves as strong evidence to suggest that ABM is an appropriate analysis technique for MyCiTi data systems. Validation exercises reveal that ABM is able to calculate on board bus usage and system behaviour with a strong degree of accuracy (R-squared 0.85). It is however recommended that additional research be conducted into more detailed calibration activities, such as fine-tuning agent behaviour during simulation. Ultimately this research study achieves its explorative objectives of model development and testing, and paves a way forward for future research into the practical applications of Big Data and ABM in the South African context.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:40:57.774Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2018
publishDateRange 2018
publishDateSort 2018
publisher Department of Civil Engineering
publisherStr Department of Civil Engineering
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/27362 Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling Willenberg, Darren Zuidgeest, Mark Transport Studies The MyCiTi is currently generating large volumes of raw transactional information in the form of commuter smartcard transactions, which can be considered Big Data. Agent Based modelling (ABM) has been applied internationally as a means of deriving actionable intelligence from Big Data. It is proposed that ABM can be used to unlock the hidden potential within the aforementioned data. This paper demonstrates how to go about developing and calibrating a MATSim-based ABM to analyse AFC data. It is found that data formatting algorithms are critical in the preparation of data for modelling activities. These algorithms are highly complex, requiring significant time investment prior to development. Furthermore, the development of appropriate ABM calibration parameters requires careful consideration in terms of appropriate data collection, simulation testing, and justification. This study serves as strong evidence to suggest that ABM is an appropriate analysis technique for MyCiTi data systems. Validation exercises reveal that ABM is able to calculate on board bus usage and system behaviour with a strong degree of accuracy (R-squared 0.85). It is however recommended that additional research be conducted into more detailed calibration activities, such as fine-tuning agent behaviour during simulation. Ultimately this research study achieves its explorative objectives of model development and testing, and paves a way forward for future research into the practical applications of Big Data and ABM in the South African context. 2018-02-07T09:03:32Z 2018-02-07T09:03:32Z 2017 Master Thesis Masters MSc (Eng) http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27362 eng application/pdf Department of Civil Engineering Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Transport Studies
Willenberg, Darren
Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling
title_full Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling
title_fullStr Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling
title_short Quantifying MyCiTi supply usage via Big Data and Agent Based Modelling
title_sort quantifying myciti supply usage via big data and agent based modelling
topic Transport Studies
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27362
work_keys_str_mv AT willenbergdarren quantifyingmycitisupplyusageviabigdataandagentbasedmodelling