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Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy

This thesis consists of two main parts, both of which focus on Bayesian methods and the problem of model selection in particular. The first part investigates a new approach to computing the Bayes factor for model selection without needing to compute the Bayesian evidence, while the second part shows...

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Main Author: Mootoovaloo, Arrykrishna
Other Authors: Bassett, Bruce A
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Astronomy 2018
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access_status_str Open Access
author Mootoovaloo, Arrykrishna
author2 Bassett, Bruce A
author_browse Bassett, Bruce A
Mootoovaloo, Arrykrishna
author_facet Bassett, Bruce A
Mootoovaloo, Arrykrishna
author_sort Mootoovaloo, Arrykrishna
collection Thesis
description This thesis consists of two main parts, both of which focus on Bayesian methods and the problem of model selection in particular. The first part investigates a new approach to computing the Bayes factor for model selection without needing to compute the Bayesian evidence, while the second part shows, through an analytical calculation of the Bayesian evidence, that Bayesian methods allow two point sources to be distinguished from a single point source at angular separations that are much smaller than the naive beam size at high signal to noise. In the first part, the idea is to create a supermodel by combining two models using a hyperparameter, which we call α. Setting α = 0 or 1 switches each of the models off. Hence, the ratio of the posterior of α at the two end points (0 or 1) gives the Bayes Factor. This effectively converts the problem of model selection into a Bayesian inference problem. One can then use a standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to map the posterior distribution of α and compute the Bayes factor. In the second part of this thesis, the Bayesian radio interferometry formalism of Lochner et al. (2015) is extended to take into account the gains of the antennae using the StEFCal algorithm, an important part of the calibration pipeline. Finally we study the case of a pair of sources and show that they can be resolved using an analytical computation of the Bayesian evidence. This demonstrates that Bayesian methods allow super-resolution: the pair of sources can be distinguished from a single source at arbitrarily small scales compared to the naive beam size, as long as the measurements have sufficient signal to noise.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/27492
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:21.255Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2018
publishDateRange 2018
publishDateSort 2018
publisher Department of Astronomy
publisherStr Department of Astronomy
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/27492 Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy Mootoovaloo, Arrykrishna Bassett, Bruce A Astronomy Cosmology This thesis consists of two main parts, both of which focus on Bayesian methods and the problem of model selection in particular. The first part investigates a new approach to computing the Bayes factor for model selection without needing to compute the Bayesian evidence, while the second part shows, through an analytical calculation of the Bayesian evidence, that Bayesian methods allow two point sources to be distinguished from a single point source at angular separations that are much smaller than the naive beam size at high signal to noise. In the first part, the idea is to create a supermodel by combining two models using a hyperparameter, which we call α. Setting α = 0 or 1 switches each of the models off. Hence, the ratio of the posterior of α at the two end points (0 or 1) gives the Bayes Factor. This effectively converts the problem of model selection into a Bayesian inference problem. One can then use a standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to map the posterior distribution of α and compute the Bayes factor. In the second part of this thesis, the Bayesian radio interferometry formalism of Lochner et al. (2015) is extended to take into account the gains of the antennae using the StEFCal algorithm, an important part of the calibration pipeline. Finally we study the case of a pair of sources and show that they can be resolved using an analytical computation of the Bayesian evidence. This demonstrates that Bayesian methods allow super-resolution: the pair of sources can be distinguished from a single source at arbitrarily small scales compared to the naive beam size, as long as the measurements have sufficient signal to noise. 2018-02-09T12:54:45Z 2018-02-09T12:54:45Z 2017 Master Thesis Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27492 eng application/pdf Department of Astronomy Faculty of Science University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Astronomy
Cosmology
Mootoovaloo, Arrykrishna
Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy
title_full Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy
title_fullStr Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy
title_short Bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy
title_sort bayesian model selection with applications to radio astronomy
topic Astronomy
Cosmology
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27492
work_keys_str_mv AT mootoovalooarrykrishna bayesianmodelselectionwithapplicationstoradioastronomy