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The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions

This dissertation uses 13 year panel data to explore the nature of hyperinflations which occurred in 14 countries between the years 1980 and 2008. The countries are grouped into three geopolitical regions of Latin America, former states of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) and Africa. T...

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Main Author: Ndlovu, Sabelosenkosi
Other Authors: Ellyne, Mark
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: School of Economics 2019
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access_status_str Open Access
author Ndlovu, Sabelosenkosi
author2 Ellyne, Mark
author_browse Ellyne, Mark
Ndlovu, Sabelosenkosi
author_facet Ellyne, Mark
Ndlovu, Sabelosenkosi
author_sort Ndlovu, Sabelosenkosi
collection Thesis
description This dissertation uses 13 year panel data to explore the nature of hyperinflations which occurred in 14 countries between the years 1980 and 2008. The countries are grouped into three geopolitical regions of Latin America, former states of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) and Africa. The analysis principally uses the quantity theory of money (QTM) and the purchasing power parity (PPP) as theoretical frameworks. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality is used to examine the nature of the relationship between exchange rates, money supply and price levels during the hyperinflationary periods. Notable similarities regarding the causal relationships, particularly between money supply, and price levels were found. Exchange rate depreciation-inflation spirals are examined using the PPP hypothesis. Over the 13 year periods under investigation, the findings suggest that prices and exchange rates did not tend to move together in all the cases. The impact of hyperinflations on the velocity of money is investigated for the three regional cases, following which the long-run relationship between QTM variables is tested using Pedroni residual co-integration. Despite the substantial dissimilarities in inflation rates and velocity in the countries, there seems not to be significant differences in the impact of hyperinflations on velocity. In examining whether a long-run or equilibrium relationship existed between inflation, money growth and real output during the hyperinflationary periods, the findings suggest it was not the case in all instances. Although the econometric results accord with findings in the relevant literature, it is apparent that despite the generic systematic features which typify the phenomenon, the hyperinflationary experiences have not been uniform and have taken different paths.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:15.376Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2019
publishDateRange 2019
publishDateSort 2019
publisher School of Economics
publisherStr School of Economics
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/29836 The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions Ndlovu, Sabelosenkosi Ellyne, Mark Economic Development This dissertation uses 13 year panel data to explore the nature of hyperinflations which occurred in 14 countries between the years 1980 and 2008. The countries are grouped into three geopolitical regions of Latin America, former states of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) and Africa. The analysis principally uses the quantity theory of money (QTM) and the purchasing power parity (PPP) as theoretical frameworks. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality is used to examine the nature of the relationship between exchange rates, money supply and price levels during the hyperinflationary periods. Notable similarities regarding the causal relationships, particularly between money supply, and price levels were found. Exchange rate depreciation-inflation spirals are examined using the PPP hypothesis. Over the 13 year periods under investigation, the findings suggest that prices and exchange rates did not tend to move together in all the cases. The impact of hyperinflations on the velocity of money is investigated for the three regional cases, following which the long-run relationship between QTM variables is tested using Pedroni residual co-integration. Despite the substantial dissimilarities in inflation rates and velocity in the countries, there seems not to be significant differences in the impact of hyperinflations on velocity. In examining whether a long-run or equilibrium relationship existed between inflation, money growth and real output during the hyperinflationary periods, the findings suggest it was not the case in all instances. Although the econometric results accord with findings in the relevant literature, it is apparent that despite the generic systematic features which typify the phenomenon, the hyperinflationary experiences have not been uniform and have taken different paths. 2019-03-01T06:27:04Z 2019-03-01T06:27:04Z 2018 2019-02-25T11:55:51Z Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29836 eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Economic Development
Ndlovu, Sabelosenkosi
The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions
thesis_degree_str Master's
title The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions
title_full The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions
title_fullStr The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions
title_full_unstemmed The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions
title_short The Nature of Hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008: A Case of Three Regions
title_sort nature of hyperinflations between 1980 and 2008 a case of three regions
topic Economic Development
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29836
work_keys_str_mv AT ndlovusabelosenkosi thenatureofhyperinflationsbetween1980and2008acaseofthreeregions
AT ndlovusabelosenkosi natureofhyperinflationsbetween1980and2008acaseofthreeregions