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Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models

The degree of level dependence in interest rate volatility is analysed in the linearrational term structure model. The linear-rational square-root (LRSQ) model, where level dependence is set a priori, is compared to a specification where the factor process follows CEV-type dynamics which allows a mo...

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Main Author: Ramnarayan, Kalind
Other Authors: Backwell, Alex
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management 2020
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access_status_str Open Access
author Ramnarayan, Kalind
author2 Backwell, Alex
author_browse Backwell, Alex
Ramnarayan, Kalind
author_facet Backwell, Alex
Ramnarayan, Kalind
author_sort Ramnarayan, Kalind
collection Thesis
description The degree of level dependence in interest rate volatility is analysed in the linearrational term structure model. The linear-rational square-root (LRSQ) model, where level dependence is set a priori, is compared to a specification where the factor process follows CEV-type dynamics which allows a more flexible degree of level dependence. Parameters are estimated using an unscented Kalman filter in conjunction with quasi-maximum likelihood. An extended specification for the state price density process is required to ensure reliable parameter estimates. The empirical analysis indicates that the LRSQ model generally overestimates level dependence. Although the CEV specification captures the degree of level dependence in volatility more accurately, it has a trade-off with analytical tractability. The optimal specification, therefore, depends on the type of model implementation and general economic conditions.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/31207
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:34:36.552Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2020
publishDateRange 2020
publishDateSort 2020
publisher African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
publisherStr African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/31207 Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models Ramnarayan, Kalind Backwell, Alex Mathematical Finance The degree of level dependence in interest rate volatility is analysed in the linearrational term structure model. The linear-rational square-root (LRSQ) model, where level dependence is set a priori, is compared to a specification where the factor process follows CEV-type dynamics which allows a more flexible degree of level dependence. Parameters are estimated using an unscented Kalman filter in conjunction with quasi-maximum likelihood. An extended specification for the state price density process is required to ensure reliable parameter estimates. The empirical analysis indicates that the LRSQ model generally overestimates level dependence. Although the CEV specification captures the degree of level dependence in volatility more accurately, it has a trade-off with analytical tractability. The optimal specification, therefore, depends on the type of model implementation and general economic conditions. 2020-02-20T12:28:45Z 2020-02-20T12:28:45Z 2019 2020-02-14T09:39:09Z Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31207 eng application/pdf African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle Mathematical Finance
Ramnarayan, Kalind
Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models
title_full Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models
title_fullStr Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models
title_full_unstemmed Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models
title_short Level Dependence in Volatility in Linear-Rational Term Structure Models
title_sort level dependence in volatility in linear rational term structure models
topic Mathematical Finance
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31207
work_keys_str_mv AT ramnarayankalind leveldependenceinvolatilityinlinearrationaltermstructuremodels