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Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis

This paper analyses return and volatility spillovers across the five largest and oldest African equity markets, namely: South Africa, Morocco, Egypt, Nigeria and Tunisia. The time-domain approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and the frequency-domain approach of Barunik and Khrehlik (2018) are employ...

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Main Author: Claassen, Cecily
Other Authors: Kotze, Kevin
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: School of Economics 2020
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access_status_str Open Access
author Claassen, Cecily
author2 Kotze, Kevin
author_browse Claassen, Cecily
Kotze, Kevin
author_facet Kotze, Kevin
Claassen, Cecily
author_sort Claassen, Cecily
collection Thesis
description This paper analyses return and volatility spillovers across the five largest and oldest African equity markets, namely: South Africa, Morocco, Egypt, Nigeria and Tunisia. The time-domain approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and the frequency-domain approach of Barunik and Khrehlik (2018) are employed to measure the spillovers empirically, in order to ascertain the nature and degree of interdependence within African stock markets. The findings suggest that these African equity markets’ total return connectedness index is relatively moderate at an average of 9.7% over the full sample period between 11 January 2002 and 2 November 2018. However, the total volatility connectedness index is much higher at 19.9% on average, which is also larger than many other findings in the literature. These results suggest that South Africa and Egypt are usually the net transmitters of both return and volatility spillovers, while Morocco, Nigeria and Tunisia are usually the net receivers of these spillovers. A subsequent rolling window analysis is then used to show that both return and volatility interconnectivity has increased over time. There are also a number of spikes that occurred during periods of crisis, as these measures are particularly high during the global financial crisis of 2008 and 2009. To consider the robustness of these results, various different frequency windows have been used, where it is noted that although the central tenant of the above findings are present across all frequency windows, the exact measure for the degree of African equity market connectedness is contingent on the frequency under consideration.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2020
publishDateRange 2020
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publisher School of Economics
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/31419 Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis Claassen, Cecily Kotze, Kevin Economics This paper analyses return and volatility spillovers across the five largest and oldest African equity markets, namely: South Africa, Morocco, Egypt, Nigeria and Tunisia. The time-domain approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and the frequency-domain approach of Barunik and Khrehlik (2018) are employed to measure the spillovers empirically, in order to ascertain the nature and degree of interdependence within African stock markets. The findings suggest that these African equity markets’ total return connectedness index is relatively moderate at an average of 9.7% over the full sample period between 11 January 2002 and 2 November 2018. However, the total volatility connectedness index is much higher at 19.9% on average, which is also larger than many other findings in the literature. These results suggest that South Africa and Egypt are usually the net transmitters of both return and volatility spillovers, while Morocco, Nigeria and Tunisia are usually the net receivers of these spillovers. A subsequent rolling window analysis is then used to show that both return and volatility interconnectivity has increased over time. There are also a number of spikes that occurred during periods of crisis, as these measures are particularly high during the global financial crisis of 2008 and 2009. To consider the robustness of these results, various different frequency windows have been used, where it is noted that although the central tenant of the above findings are present across all frequency windows, the exact measure for the degree of African equity market connectedness is contingent on the frequency under consideration. 2020-03-02T08:44:25Z 2020-03-02T08:44:25Z 2019 2020-03-02T08:30:21Z Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31419 eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle Economics
Claassen, Cecily
Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis
title_full Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis
title_fullStr Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis
title_short Connectedness of the African Equity Markets: A Time-Frequency Spillover Analysis
title_sort connectedness of the african equity markets a time frequency spillover analysis
topic Economics
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/31419
work_keys_str_mv AT claassencecily connectednessoftheafricanequitymarketsatimefrequencyspilloveranalysis