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Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa

This paper examines the gap in social insurance coverage in semi-formal enterprises, and explores options for incentivising participation by lower income workers in a comprehensive statutory social security scheme. A probit model is used to quantify current patterns of UIF and pension coverage. The...

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Main Author: Borros, Georgina
Other Authors: Donaldson, Andrew
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: School of Economics 2022
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access_status_str Open Access
author Borros, Georgina
author2 Donaldson, Andrew
author_browse Borros, Georgina
Donaldson, Andrew
author_facet Donaldson, Andrew
Borros, Georgina
author_sort Borros, Georgina
collection Thesis
description This paper examines the gap in social insurance coverage in semi-formal enterprises, and explores options for incentivising participation by lower income workers in a comprehensive statutory social security scheme. A probit model is used to quantify current patterns of UIF and pension coverage. The analysis confirms that business owners, employees in the informal sector and those without an employment contract are significantly less likely to participate. A transition matrix is used to assess the trends in participation over the 2020 lockdown period - showing a statistically significant increase in pension fund and UIF participation, which suggests that the Covid-19 TERS benefit generated an availability heuristic effect. Two subsidy models are examined, designed to incentivise wider participation: the first being a subsidy for comprehensive social insurance cover (including pension and unemployment insurance) and the second a subsidisation of unemployment insurance only. Both subsidy models are costed. In the event of full participation, the unemployment insurance subsidy would cost the state R16 billion annually, while a comprehensive social insurance subsidy would amount to R48 billion annually. The unemployment insurance subsidy is advised as an immediate avenue for action, while the comprehensive plan remains a goal for higher welfare in the long run.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2022
publishDateRange 2022
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publisher School of Economics
publisherStr School of Economics
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/35647 Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa Borros, Georgina Donaldson, Andrew Economics This paper examines the gap in social insurance coverage in semi-formal enterprises, and explores options for incentivising participation by lower income workers in a comprehensive statutory social security scheme. A probit model is used to quantify current patterns of UIF and pension coverage. The analysis confirms that business owners, employees in the informal sector and those without an employment contract are significantly less likely to participate. A transition matrix is used to assess the trends in participation over the 2020 lockdown period - showing a statistically significant increase in pension fund and UIF participation, which suggests that the Covid-19 TERS benefit generated an availability heuristic effect. Two subsidy models are examined, designed to incentivise wider participation: the first being a subsidy for comprehensive social insurance cover (including pension and unemployment insurance) and the second a subsidisation of unemployment insurance only. Both subsidy models are costed. In the event of full participation, the unemployment insurance subsidy would cost the state R16 billion annually, while a comprehensive social insurance subsidy would amount to R48 billion annually. The unemployment insurance subsidy is advised as an immediate avenue for action, while the comprehensive plan remains a goal for higher welfare in the long run. 2022-02-09T07:45:33Z 2022-02-09T07:45:33Z 2021 2022-01-31T11:05:15Z Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35647 eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle Economics
Borros, Georgina
Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa
title_full Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa
title_fullStr Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa
title_short Take cover: Incentivising wider social insurance participation in South Africa
title_sort take cover incentivising wider social insurance participation in south africa
topic Economics
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35647
work_keys_str_mv AT borrosgeorgina takecoverincentivisingwidersocialinsuranceparticipationinsouthafrica