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Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market

Using the ARFIMA-FIGARCH model, this dissertation examines the efficiency of Botswana's bond market. It focuses on the properties of the return and volatility of the Fleming Asset Bond Index (the main aggregate fixed income benchmark index in Botswana) over the period September 2009 to May 2019. The...

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Main Author: Muzhoba, Gorata
Other Authors: Majoni, Akios
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Finance and Tax 2022
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access_status_str Open Access
author Muzhoba, Gorata
author2 Majoni, Akios
author_browse Majoni, Akios
Muzhoba, Gorata
author_facet Majoni, Akios
Muzhoba, Gorata
author_sort Muzhoba, Gorata
collection Thesis
description Using the ARFIMA-FIGARCH model, this dissertation examines the efficiency of Botswana's bond market. It focuses on the properties of the return and volatility of the Fleming Asset Bond Index (the main aggregate fixed income benchmark index in Botswana) over the period September 2009 to May 2019. The weak-form version of efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is used as a criterion to investigate the existence of long memory in both bond returns and volatility. The results of our study indicate that the Botswana bond market data follow, to a great extent, the long-range dependence which negates the precepts of the efficient market hypothesis. Furthermore, policy reforms intended to stimulate bond market reform and related efficiency gains appear not to have produced the desired outcomes as the existence of long memory is found across all sample periods. Further remedial policies are suggested to enhance market dynamism.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:32:20.328Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2022
publishDateRange 2022
publishDateSort 2022
publisher Department of Finance and Tax
publisherStr Department of Finance and Tax
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/35949 Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market Muzhoba, Gorata Majoni, Akios efficient market hypothesis market efficiency long memory long-range dependence random walk volatility persistence Using the ARFIMA-FIGARCH model, this dissertation examines the efficiency of Botswana's bond market. It focuses on the properties of the return and volatility of the Fleming Asset Bond Index (the main aggregate fixed income benchmark index in Botswana) over the period September 2009 to May 2019. The weak-form version of efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is used as a criterion to investigate the existence of long memory in both bond returns and volatility. The results of our study indicate that the Botswana bond market data follow, to a great extent, the long-range dependence which negates the precepts of the efficient market hypothesis. Furthermore, policy reforms intended to stimulate bond market reform and related efficiency gains appear not to have produced the desired outcomes as the existence of long memory is found across all sample periods. Further remedial policies are suggested to enhance market dynamism. 2022-03-06T18:48:30Z 2022-03-06T18:48:30Z 2021 2022-03-06T18:48:03Z Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35949 eng application/pdf Department of Finance and Tax Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle efficient market hypothesis
market efficiency
long memory
long-range dependence
random walk
volatility persistence
Muzhoba, Gorata
Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market
title_full Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market
title_fullStr Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market
title_full_unstemmed Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market
title_short Long memory in bond market returns: a test of weak-form efficiency in Botswana's bond market
title_sort long memory in bond market returns a test of weak form efficiency in botswana s bond market
topic efficient market hypothesis
market efficiency
long memory
long-range dependence
random walk
volatility persistence
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35949
work_keys_str_mv AT muzhobagorata longmemoryinbondmarketreturnsatestofweakformefficiencyinbotswanasbondmarket