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Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options

This dissertation explores the problem of pricing American options in high dimensions using machine learning. In particular, the Gaussian Process Regression Monte Carlo (GPR-MC) algorithm developed by Goudenege et al (2019). is explored, and ` its performance, i.e., its accuracy and efficiency, is b...

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Main Author: Mokone, Christoffel Maboe
Other Authors: Ouwehand, Peter
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Finance and Tax 2022
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access_status_str Open Access
author Mokone, Christoffel Maboe
author2 Ouwehand, Peter
author_browse Mokone, Christoffel Maboe
Ouwehand, Peter
author_facet Ouwehand, Peter
Mokone, Christoffel Maboe
author_sort Mokone, Christoffel Maboe
collection Thesis
description This dissertation explores the problem of pricing American options in high dimensions using machine learning. In particular, the Gaussian Process Regression Monte Carlo (GPR-MC) algorithm developed by Goudenege et al (2019). is explored, and ` its performance, i.e., its accuracy and efficiency, is benchmarked against the Least Squares Regression Method (LSM) developed by Carriere (1996) and popularised by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001). In this dissertation, American options are approximated by Bermudan options due to limited computing power. To test the performance of GPR-MC, an American geometric mean basket put option, an American arithmetic mean basket put option and an American maximum call option are priced under the multi-asset Black-Scholes and Heston models, using both GPRMC and LSM. The algorithms are run a 100 times to obtain mean option values, 95% confidence intervals about the means, and average computational times. Numerical results show that the efficiency of GPR-MC is independent of the number of underlying assets, in contrast to the LSM method which is not. At 10 underlying assets, GPR-MC is shown to be more efficient than LSM. Moreover, GPR-MC is reasonably accurate, producing relative errors that are within reasonable bounds.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:34:06.076Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2022
publishDateRange 2022
publishDateSort 2022
publisher Department of Finance and Tax
publisherStr Department of Finance and Tax
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/36605 Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options Mokone, Christoffel Maboe Ouwehand, Peter finance tax This dissertation explores the problem of pricing American options in high dimensions using machine learning. In particular, the Gaussian Process Regression Monte Carlo (GPR-MC) algorithm developed by Goudenege et al (2019). is explored, and ` its performance, i.e., its accuracy and efficiency, is benchmarked against the Least Squares Regression Method (LSM) developed by Carriere (1996) and popularised by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001). In this dissertation, American options are approximated by Bermudan options due to limited computing power. To test the performance of GPR-MC, an American geometric mean basket put option, an American arithmetic mean basket put option and an American maximum call option are priced under the multi-asset Black-Scholes and Heston models, using both GPRMC and LSM. The algorithms are run a 100 times to obtain mean option values, 95% confidence intervals about the means, and average computational times. Numerical results show that the efficiency of GPR-MC is independent of the number of underlying assets, in contrast to the LSM method which is not. At 10 underlying assets, GPR-MC is shown to be more efficient than LSM. Moreover, GPR-MC is reasonably accurate, producing relative errors that are within reasonable bounds. 2022-07-04T18:16:03Z 2022-07-04T18:16:03Z 2022 2022-07-04T13:21:48Z Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36605 eng application/pdf Department of Finance and Tax Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle finance
tax
Mokone, Christoffel Maboe
Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options
title_full Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options
title_fullStr Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options
title_full_unstemmed Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options
title_short Gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi-asset American options
title_sort gaussian process regression approach to pricing multi asset american options
topic finance
tax
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36605
work_keys_str_mv AT mokonechristoffelmaboe gaussianprocessregressionapproachtopricingmultiassetamericanoptions