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Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa

South Africa is facing an unemployment crisis, with an unemployment rate of 43.2% by the expanded definition in quarter 1 of 2021. At the same time, the threats of climate change are becoming ever more evident and the world is under increasing pressure to lower its carbon emissions. The distribution...

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Main Author: Wills, Nicola Grace
Other Authors: Black, Anthony
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: School of Economics 2023
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access_status_str Open Access
author Wills, Nicola Grace
author2 Black, Anthony
author_browse Black, Anthony
Wills, Nicola Grace
author_facet Black, Anthony
Wills, Nicola Grace
author_sort Wills, Nicola Grace
collection Thesis
description South Africa is facing an unemployment crisis, with an unemployment rate of 43.2% by the expanded definition in quarter 1 of 2021. At the same time, the threats of climate change are becoming ever more evident and the world is under increasing pressure to lower its carbon emissions. The distributional effects of a lower carbon growth pathway will be an important part of the overall transition to a lower carbon economy, in South Africa and elsewhere. Previously, sectors have been characterised according to either their employment or carbon intensity, but have not been mapped based on both measures. This dissertation fills this gap by mapping sectors for a prospective high employment and low carbon growth pathway in South Africa. This is done by constructing a two-bytwo typology to explicitly map sectors / subsectors by both their employment multiplier rank and carbon intensity. This mapping lays the basis for providing an understanding of the implications of three policy measures across different sectors. The three policy measures discussed – a wage subsidy, carbon tax and phase out of fossil fuel subsidies – have the potential to jointly help shift the growth pathway of South Africa to higher employment and lower emissions. On the one hand, a wage subsidy applied to all sectors would provide larger benefits for more employment intensive sectors and so incentivise growth therein. On the other hand, the phasing out of fossil fuel subsidies and a more punitive carbon tax would place more financial pressure on relatively capital and carbon intensive sectors. Overall, the focus of this dissertation is to support a ‘Just Transition' to a new growth pathway characterised by high employment and low carbon.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2023
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/36948 Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa Wills, Nicola Grace Black, Anthony Winkler, Harald Economic Development South Africa is facing an unemployment crisis, with an unemployment rate of 43.2% by the expanded definition in quarter 1 of 2021. At the same time, the threats of climate change are becoming ever more evident and the world is under increasing pressure to lower its carbon emissions. The distributional effects of a lower carbon growth pathway will be an important part of the overall transition to a lower carbon economy, in South Africa and elsewhere. Previously, sectors have been characterised according to either their employment or carbon intensity, but have not been mapped based on both measures. This dissertation fills this gap by mapping sectors for a prospective high employment and low carbon growth pathway in South Africa. This is done by constructing a two-bytwo typology to explicitly map sectors / subsectors by both their employment multiplier rank and carbon intensity. This mapping lays the basis for providing an understanding of the implications of three policy measures across different sectors. The three policy measures discussed – a wage subsidy, carbon tax and phase out of fossil fuel subsidies – have the potential to jointly help shift the growth pathway of South Africa to higher employment and lower emissions. On the one hand, a wage subsidy applied to all sectors would provide larger benefits for more employment intensive sectors and so incentivise growth therein. On the other hand, the phasing out of fossil fuel subsidies and a more punitive carbon tax would place more financial pressure on relatively capital and carbon intensive sectors. Overall, the focus of this dissertation is to support a ‘Just Transition' to a new growth pathway characterised by high employment and low carbon. 2023-02-21T14:05:36Z 2023-02-21T14:05:36Z 2022 2023-02-21T07:32:35Z Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36948 eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle Economic Development
Wills, Nicola Grace
Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa
title_full Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa
title_fullStr Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa
title_short Mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in South Africa
title_sort mapping sectors for high employment and low carbon growth in south africa
topic Economic Development
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36948
work_keys_str_mv AT willsnicolagrace mappingsectorsforhighemploymentandlowcarbongrowthinsouthafrica