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Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality

Background: Advanced HIV disease is the major contributor to the recent plateau in HIV related deaths globally. However, limited data exists on which patients with advanced HIV are at highest risk of death. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was nested within a larger cohort of 13 HIV treatment f...

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Main Author: Fieggen, Joshua
Other Authors: Euvrard, Jonathan
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Public Health and Family Medicine 2023
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access_status_str Open Access
author Fieggen, Joshua
author2 Euvrard, Jonathan
author_browse Euvrard, Jonathan
Fieggen, Joshua
author_facet Euvrard, Jonathan
Fieggen, Joshua
author_sort Fieggen, Joshua
collection Thesis
description Background: Advanced HIV disease is the major contributor to the recent plateau in HIV related deaths globally. However, limited data exists on which patients with advanced HIV are at highest risk of death. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was nested within a larger cohort of 13 HIV treatment facilities in Khayelitsha, South Africa. All adults who had a CD4 count less than 200 cells/mm3 between 1 January 2017 and 31 March 2021 were enrolled. Descriptive statistics were calculated, and the cohort was then restricted to those who had linked vital status information. We evaluated risk factors for mortality using risk ratios, Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier curves. Results: Between 19% and 28% of the larger cohort (n=72,102) were estimated to have advanced HIV disease at any point during the study period. Of these patients 20% were on treatment, 40% were disengaged from care and 40% were treatment naïve at enumeration. Overall mortality was 12% with mortality highest in the first year (6,8%) following enumeration. Mortality was highest among patients on ART (17%) with viraemia an important risk factor for death in this group (aHR 1.42 [95% CI: 1.11 | 1.81]). Age >40 years, enumeration CD4 count, and tuberculosis were all predictors of death. 28% of patients off ART were found to have current tuberculosis at enumeration. Conclusion: There was a high prevalence of advanced HIV disease with significant associated mortality within this contemporary South African HIV cohort. Major modifiable contributors to mortality were disengagement from care and tuberculosis.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:48:37.794Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/37183 Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality Fieggen, Joshua Euvrard, Jonathan Public Health Background: Advanced HIV disease is the major contributor to the recent plateau in HIV related deaths globally. However, limited data exists on which patients with advanced HIV are at highest risk of death. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was nested within a larger cohort of 13 HIV treatment facilities in Khayelitsha, South Africa. All adults who had a CD4 count less than 200 cells/mm3 between 1 January 2017 and 31 March 2021 were enrolled. Descriptive statistics were calculated, and the cohort was then restricted to those who had linked vital status information. We evaluated risk factors for mortality using risk ratios, Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier curves. Results: Between 19% and 28% of the larger cohort (n=72,102) were estimated to have advanced HIV disease at any point during the study period. Of these patients 20% were on treatment, 40% were disengaged from care and 40% were treatment naïve at enumeration. Overall mortality was 12% with mortality highest in the first year (6,8%) following enumeration. Mortality was highest among patients on ART (17%) with viraemia an important risk factor for death in this group (aHR 1.42 [95% CI: 1.11 | 1.81]). Age >40 years, enumeration CD4 count, and tuberculosis were all predictors of death. 28% of patients off ART were found to have current tuberculosis at enumeration. Conclusion: There was a high prevalence of advanced HIV disease with significant associated mortality within this contemporary South African HIV cohort. Major modifiable contributors to mortality were disengagement from care and tuberculosis. 2023-03-03T09:37:44Z 2023-03-03T09:37:44Z 2022 2023-02-20T12:44:46Z Master Thesis Masters MPH http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37183 eng application/pdf Department of Public Health and Family Medicine Faculty of Health Sciences
spellingShingle Public Health
Fieggen, Joshua
Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality
title_full Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality
title_fullStr Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality
title_full_unstemmed Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality
title_short Characteristics of a contemporary South African cohort of patients with advanced HIV disease and associated risk factors for mortality
title_sort characteristics of a contemporary south african cohort of patients with advanced hiv disease and associated risk factors for mortality
topic Public Health
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37183
work_keys_str_mv AT fieggenjoshua characteristicsofacontemporarysouthafricancohortofpatientswithadvancedhivdiseaseandassociatedriskfactorsformortality