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Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children

Childhood growth impacts the future welfare of an individual and ultimately the nation. The importance of childhood growth monitoring with growth curves that accurately represent the growth of the population of interest cannot be overemphasised. This dissertation sought to model the growth of a coho...

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Main Author: Ross, Melinda
Other Authors: Little, Francesca
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Statistical Sciences 2023
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access_status_str Open Access
author Ross, Melinda
author2 Little, Francesca
author_browse Little, Francesca
Ross, Melinda
author_facet Little, Francesca
Ross, Melinda
author_sort Ross, Melinda
collection Thesis
description Childhood growth impacts the future welfare of an individual and ultimately the nation. The importance of childhood growth monitoring with growth curves that accurately represent the growth of the population of interest cannot be overemphasised. This dissertation sought to model the growth of a cohort of South African children and compare their growth to the World Health Organisation (WHO) 2006 Child Growth Standards. Growth reference curves were derived using parametric and semi-parametric methods within the Generalised Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) framework. Various distributions for the growth measurements were compared as well as various curve smoothing approaches for the longitudinal profiles, including cubic splines, fractional polynomials and Berkey-Reed First and Second Order models. The preferred approach was to use the Box-Cox Power Exponential (BCPE) distribution with curve smoothing by cubic splines. Non-parametric quantile regression served as a confirmation that the chosen parametric distributions were appropriate for the data. A comparison of the derived growth references to the WHO (2006) standards revealed deviations in the patterns of growth and a greater likelihood of diagnosing a child as underweight, stunted or having micro- or macrocephaly when measured against the WHO standards. The poor socioeconomic status and associated harmful exposures of the cohort were noted as potential contributing factors. A fair comparison would require a reasonably healthy and representative sample of the South African population. These findings do however call into question the appropriateness of the WHO standards for measuring the growth of South African children and bring into focus the value of developing national growth standards.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:42:45.327Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
publisher Department of Statistical Sciences
publisherStr Department of Statistical Sciences
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/37751 Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children Ross, Melinda Little, Francesca statistical sciences Childhood growth impacts the future welfare of an individual and ultimately the nation. The importance of childhood growth monitoring with growth curves that accurately represent the growth of the population of interest cannot be overemphasised. This dissertation sought to model the growth of a cohort of South African children and compare their growth to the World Health Organisation (WHO) 2006 Child Growth Standards. Growth reference curves were derived using parametric and semi-parametric methods within the Generalised Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) framework. Various distributions for the growth measurements were compared as well as various curve smoothing approaches for the longitudinal profiles, including cubic splines, fractional polynomials and Berkey-Reed First and Second Order models. The preferred approach was to use the Box-Cox Power Exponential (BCPE) distribution with curve smoothing by cubic splines. Non-parametric quantile regression served as a confirmation that the chosen parametric distributions were appropriate for the data. A comparison of the derived growth references to the WHO (2006) standards revealed deviations in the patterns of growth and a greater likelihood of diagnosing a child as underweight, stunted or having micro- or macrocephaly when measured against the WHO standards. The poor socioeconomic status and associated harmful exposures of the cohort were noted as potential contributing factors. A fair comparison would require a reasonably healthy and representative sample of the South African population. These findings do however call into question the appropriateness of the WHO standards for measuring the growth of South African children and bring into focus the value of developing national growth standards. 2023-04-17T07:40:32Z 2023-04-17T07:40:32Z 2022 2023-04-17T07:39:30Z Master Thesis Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37751 eng application/pdf Department of Statistical Sciences Faculty of Science
spellingShingle statistical sciences
Ross, Melinda
Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children
title_full Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children
title_fullStr Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children
title_full_unstemmed Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children
title_short Constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of South African children
title_sort constructing growth reference curves for a cohort of south african children
topic statistical sciences
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37751
work_keys_str_mv AT rossmelinda constructinggrowthreferencecurvesforacohortofsouthafricanchildren