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Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study

Background Definition of chest X-ray (CXR) features associated with laboratory-confirmed pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) among HIV-positive adults is needed to improve diagnosis in high-burden settings. Methods We conducted a case-control study involving HIV-positive adults with laboratory-confirmed PC...

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Main Author: Wills, Nicola
Other Authors: Wasserman, Sean
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Medicine 2024
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access_status_str Open Access
author Wills, Nicola
author2 Wasserman, Sean
author_browse Wasserman, Sean
Wills, Nicola
author_facet Wasserman, Sean
Wills, Nicola
author_sort Wills, Nicola
collection Thesis
description Background Definition of chest X-ray (CXR) features associated with laboratory-confirmed pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) among HIV-positive adults is needed to improve diagnosis in high-burden settings. Methods We conducted a case-control study involving HIV-positive adults with laboratory-confirmed PCP and a matched cohort with non-PCP respiratory presentations at regional hospitals in Cape Town, South Africa (2012 - 2020). The primary objective was to identify CXR features associated with confirmed PCP diagnosis and severe PCP (defined by hypoxia, ICU referral/admission, and/or in-hospital death). We explored the performance of logistic regression models, incorporating selected clinical and CXR predictors, for PCP diagnosis and severe PCP. Results Records from 104 adults (52 PCP cases and 52 non-PCP controls) were included. Diffuse versus patchy ground glass opacification was associated with increased odds of PCP diagnosis (adjusted odd's ratio (aOR) 6.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6 - 28.9, p = 0.01) and severe PCP (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 1.6 - 14.4, p = 0.008). Consolidation was associated with severe PCP (aOR 3.3, 95%CI 1.2 - 11.0, p =0.03) as was increasing ground glass zone involvement (aOR 2.1 for each one-unit increase in involved zone; 95% CI, 1.4 - 3.2, p = 0.0004). Models incorporating hypoxia (hypoxia model) or tachypnoea (respiratory rate model) with diffuse ground glass opacities, absence of pleural effusion or reticular/reticulonodular changes on CXR performed well in predicting PCP (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.828 (hypoxia model) and 0.857 (respiratory rate model)). Conclusions CXR evaluation alongside bedside clinical information offers good accuracy for discriminating definite PCP from other HIV-associated respiratory diseases
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language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:32:06.010Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2024
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/40626 Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study Wills, Nicola Wasserman, Sean Internal Medicine Background Definition of chest X-ray (CXR) features associated with laboratory-confirmed pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) among HIV-positive adults is needed to improve diagnosis in high-burden settings. Methods We conducted a case-control study involving HIV-positive adults with laboratory-confirmed PCP and a matched cohort with non-PCP respiratory presentations at regional hospitals in Cape Town, South Africa (2012 - 2020). The primary objective was to identify CXR features associated with confirmed PCP diagnosis and severe PCP (defined by hypoxia, ICU referral/admission, and/or in-hospital death). We explored the performance of logistic regression models, incorporating selected clinical and CXR predictors, for PCP diagnosis and severe PCP. Results Records from 104 adults (52 PCP cases and 52 non-PCP controls) were included. Diffuse versus patchy ground glass opacification was associated with increased odds of PCP diagnosis (adjusted odd's ratio (aOR) 6.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6 - 28.9, p = 0.01) and severe PCP (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 1.6 - 14.4, p = 0.008). Consolidation was associated with severe PCP (aOR 3.3, 95%CI 1.2 - 11.0, p =0.03) as was increasing ground glass zone involvement (aOR 2.1 for each one-unit increase in involved zone; 95% CI, 1.4 - 3.2, p = 0.0004). Models incorporating hypoxia (hypoxia model) or tachypnoea (respiratory rate model) with diffuse ground glass opacities, absence of pleural effusion or reticular/reticulonodular changes on CXR performed well in predicting PCP (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.828 (hypoxia model) and 0.857 (respiratory rate model)). Conclusions CXR evaluation alongside bedside clinical information offers good accuracy for discriminating definite PCP from other HIV-associated respiratory diseases 2024-10-28T09:28:36Z 2024-10-28T09:28:36Z 2024 2024-10-28T09:27:15Z Thesis / Dissertation Masters Mmed http://hdl.handle.net/11427/40626 eng application/pdf Department of Medicine Faculty of Health Sciences
spellingShingle Internal Medicine
Wills, Nicola
Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study
title_full Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study
title_fullStr Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study
title_full_unstemmed Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study
title_short Radiological predictors of PCP in HIV-positive adults in South Africa: a matched case-control study
title_sort radiological predictors of pcp in hiv positive adults in south africa a matched case control study
topic Internal Medicine
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/40626
work_keys_str_mv AT willsnicola radiologicalpredictorsofpcpinhivpositiveadultsinsouthafricaamatchedcasecontrolstudy